The Democrats are in for a battle at the polls tomorrow. After 2 years of a Democrat-controlled House, Senate, and Executive Mansion, many Americans have been voicing their discontent and disillusionment with where the country finds itself. Unemployment is high and right along with it, voter tension. The promised “change” was light on the details from the beginning and has been slow in coming ever since. The President has spent much of the past several months bemoaning what he inherited and highlighting that lack of Republican cooperation.
It appears that the President’s strategy is of the two-term variety: Take the first term to set the stage, begin working towards the end of the second or third year, tell everyone how it will take more time, and beg for a second term to get it finished. Give a few things along the way to keep people happy.
He is not the first to try this ploy. It’s a good trick if it can be pulled off successfully.
Some are predicting major wins for the GOP. The mid-term elections may help the President secure that second term, especially if the Republicans pull off wins as big as handicappers are suggesting.
Here’s the argument:
– If the Democrats retain control, then the current administration must continue to try to produce the goods that have been promised with no-one to blame in years 3 and 4 except themselves when they fail. The whole risk they bear today is the based on their failure to deliver between 2008 and 2010.
– HOWEVER, let the Republicans tip the scale in either the House or the Senate and all of a sudden, the power to bring about change shifts and a bi-partisan effort is needed. Between 2010 and 2012, failure to bring about a change or needed recover can now be laid to rest at the feet of the Republicans. The same groundswell of discontent that threatens the Democrats in 2010 could come back to haunt the Republicans in 2012. The President will have new whipping boys.
In actuality, there may be little the Republicans can hope to do in 2010 even if the numbers shift in their favor. I suggest that it’s not worth taking the mid-term elections only to face potential attacks for the state of things in 2012? It would it be the better thing to lose and let the Dems continue to run the boat aground. That way, the damage in 2012 falls squarely at the feet of the President.
Sometimes, it’s better to lose the battle and keep your eyes on winning the war. The real war is coming in 2012.